Certain Events vs Random Events
“Statistically, the probability of any one of us being here is so small that the mere fact of our existence should keep us all in a state of contented dazzlement.”
— Lewis Thomas
Certain Events
- 1Each person taking birth will die.
- 2A fruit freely falling from a tree will fall on the ground.
- 3If the profit per item of a trader is ₹ 10, he will earn a profit of ₹ 500 by selling 50 items.
- 4If a person invests ₹ 1,00,000 in a nationalised bank at 7.5% annual interest, the interest received will be ₹ 7,500.
- 5These events are certain — we can say with certainty that they will happen.
Random Events
- 1Getting head on the upper side after tossing a balanced coin.
- 2Getting the number 3 on the upper side when a six-faced unbiased die is thrown.
- 3The new baby to be born will be a boy.
- 4An item produced in a factory is non-defective.
- 5What will be the total rainfall in a certain region in the current year.
- 6What will be the wheat production in a state in the current year.
- 7What will be the result of a cricket match played between the teams of two countries.
Random Experiment — Definition and Characteristics
Experiment 1
Toss a balanced coin. Two possible outcomes: Head – H, Tail – T (assume the coin does not stand on its edge).
Experiment 2
Throw a balanced die with six faces marked 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. Note the number on the upper face.
Experiment 3
A wheel marked with 10 numbers 0, 1, 2, …, 9 with a pointer. The number against the pointer when it stops is the winning number.
Characteristics of a random experiment⭐ Exam question
A random experiment can be independently repeated under almost identical conditions.
All possible outcomes of the random experiment are known, but which of the outcomes will appear cannot be predicted before conducting the experiment.
The random experiment results into a certain outcome.
Sample Space and Sample Points
Sample spaces of our three experiments:
Example — life of electric bulbs
The life (L) of bulbs produced in a factory, recorded in hours, is a real number with value 0 or more: U = {L | L ≥ 0, L ∈ R}
If maximum life is assumed to be 700 hours: U = {L | 0 ≤ L ≤ 700; L ∈ R} — still an infinite sample space. ⭐
Sample Space Box— click outcomes to mark them
Toss a balanced coin (Illustration 1 base):
n(U) = 2 sample points· also written U = {T, H}
Finite vs Infinite Sample Space
| Aspect | Finite | Infinite |
|---|---|---|
| Definition | Total number of possible outcomes is finite | Total number of possible outcomes is infinite |
| Coin | U = {H, T} — 2 outcomes | — |
| Die | U = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} — 6 outcomes | — |
| Bulb life | — | U = {L | L ≥ 0, L ∈ R}; U = {L | 0 ≤ L ≤ 700; L ∈ R} |
| Natural numbers | — | U = {1, 2, 3, 4, …} (Illustration 5) |
Practice Checkpoint
Your turn. Work each question in your notebook — type only the final answer here.
Type 1 Q2
A balanced coin is tossed three times. Write the sample space for the experiment.
Try the experiment:
Type 1 Q4 (Board)
⭐ BoardA balanced six-faced die and a balanced coin are tossed together. Write the sample space for the experiment.
Try the experiment:
Throw the die — which of the 6 faces lands?
Type 1 Q3
A balanced coin is tossed till the first head is obtained. Write the sample space and state whether it is finite or infinite.
Try the experiment:
Key Takeaways
Key Takeaways
- A random experiment can be repeated independently under almost identical conditions; all its outcomes are known, but the outcome of a trial cannot be predicted with certainty.
- The set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment is its sample space U (or S); its elements are sample points.
- U = {H, T} for a coin; U = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} for a die; U = {0, 1, …, 9} for the wheel experiment.
- Two coins (or one coin twice) give U = {HH, HT, TH, TT} — 2 × 2 = 4 outcomes; two dice give 36 and three dice give 6³ = 216 outcomes by the fundamental principle of counting.
- A sample space is finite or infinite; U = {1, 2, 3, 4, …} (natural numbers) and the bulb-life sets are infinite sample spaces.
- Events that depend on chance are called random events; probability numerically expresses the possibility of such events.